Today's key developments and analysis for Utah policymakers

Utah Agenda Logo

A service of
Utah Policy.com


Welcome to Agenda Utah
Your Morning Political Briefing
Subscribe or unsubscribe
Comments or ideas
Back issues


If you miss an issue of Agenda Utah, you can read the current issue at www.UtahPolicy.com.


Wednesday Buzz

News Highlights: The Daily Herald editorializes against straight-party voting. Salt Lake County Mayor Nancy Workman continues to draw attention in news stories and an editorial. The Deseret Morning News looks at what happens if Workman is charged with a felony, while The Salt Lake Tribune says concerns were raised early on about the positions in question. The Tribune also editorially supports Dave Yocom's decision to employ a bipartisan review panel in the case.


“The whole history of the progress of human liberty shows that all concessions yet made to her august claims have been born of earnest struggle. If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and yet deprecate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground, they want rain without thunder and lightning. They want the ocean without the awful roar of its many waters.”

- Frederick Douglass (1818-1895)


Presidential Election Won't
Produce Much Heat in Utah

As a rock-solid Bush state in this year's presidential election, Utah isn't going to get much attention from either Pres. George Bush or John Kerry. They will campaign frenetically and spend tens of millions of dollars in the battleround states, but Utahns will see little firsthand campaign action.

Charlie Cook, publisher of cookpolitical.com and a National Journal columnist, breaks down the battle for electoral votes this way:

Rock solid Bush states: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah and Wyoming (110 Electoral votes).

Rock solid Kerry states (and D.C.): Connecticut , District of Columbia, Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Rhode Island (71 electoral votes).

Likely Bush states: Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, Tennessee (64 electoral votes).

Likely Kerry states: California, Illinois, New Jersey, Vermont (94 electoral votes).

Leaning Bush states: Arizona, Colorado, Virginia, West Virginia (37 electoral votes).

Leaning Kerry states: Delaware, Maine, Michigan, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Washington (63 electoral votes).

That gives Kerry 16 states plus D.C., with 228 electoral votes, 42 short of the 270 needed for victory. Bush has 25 states, with 211 electoral votes, 59 short of victory and 17 votes behind Kerry.

That leaves nine states with a combined 99 electoral votes up for grabs. They are Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Ohio, and Wisconsin. Those nine states will be the real battleground.

The battleground states and leaning states will get enormous attention over the next four months. For Utah and other states not targeted, Cook said watching the campaign “will be the equivalent of sitting in the last row of the end zone in a very big stadium: Voters there will be able to see the campaign, but none of the big plays will be very clear and there won't be much excitement.”

- LaVarr Webb


Campaign Tip:
How to Turn a Membership List into a Political Force


Sponsored by Xi Corporation
Utah 's political data specialists

If you are a candidate who has been endorsed by an association or any organization that has a lot of members or affiliates, those members are obviously good prospects to be very helpful to your campaign. Assuming a large number of the members of the organization are committed to you, and assuming you can get access to the list of members, they can provide an almost instant grassroots organization to serve as neighborhood captains and to drop literature, put up yard signs, contact their friends and neighbors, and so forth.

However, for these likely campaign volunteers to be put to good use, you need to place them in their voting districts and legislative districts so you can fill in holes in your grassroots organization. You also need to know who among them are the most active politically and are thus likely to be of most help. Who, for example, is registered to vote, has voted consistently even in low-turnout elections such as primaries and municipal elections, and who is registered by party?

You learn these things by being adept at manipulating data yourself, or by working with a political data firm to run your list against the state voter file. You can turn any list of Utah citizens into a valuable campaign asset by doing so. And if you have access to your political party's lists, you can also see who on your list is a county or state delegate or attended a neighborhood party caucus. You can also have the list “cleaned” by correcting phone numbers and addresses and formatting it so you get the lowest mail rates. You can also “household” the list to avoid sending duplicate mail pieces to the same address. And you can “geocode” the list to create maps. All of this is not very expensive.

If you operate an association or other organization with a lot of members or affiliates, you can turn your membership into a political force by “politicizing” your membership list as described above. If, for example, you want to influence a piece of legislation and a particular state senator is a crucial vote or chairs a key committee, you can pull up a list of your members in that Senate district, see who is actively politically and see who is involved in political party activities, and therefore who might be most influential with the senator.

- LaVarr Webb


Agenda Utah is a service of
Utah Policy.com

Publisher: LaVarr Webb
Editor: Bart Barker
News: Golden Webb
Calendar and Subscriptions:
Paul Hollingshead


 

Wednesday
June 30, 2004

Today's Headlines


Toole Transcript Bulletin
- Tooele council retools phone tax

Davis County Clipper
- Studies, surveys: Bad news for Wal-Mart foes
- ‘Center may bankrupt others'
- Davis now 255,000 ­– and growing

St. George Spectrum
- Leaders review rural roads

Daily Herald
- Editorial: Nix straight-party option on ballot

Standard-Examiner
- Rec center vote set for Aug. 3
- Davis County audit clean
- Editorial: Of music, the Web, guns and Sen. Hatch

Deseret Morning News
- Judge tosses federal guides
- Pressure mounts for Nuclear tests
- Workman status up in air
- Payson officials dispute legality of UTOPIA meeting
- Businessman picked for auditor's post

Salt Lake Tribune
- Environmental quality survey to focus on SLC's west side
- S.L. County nudges ZAP toward ballot
- South Davis County to vote on rec center fix
- SUU professor booted from state tax-credits study
- Salt Lake County picks new auditor
- 'Ghost' hire questioned early on
- Editorial: A balanced review



Political Calendar

Please submit calendar items to AgendaUtah@UtahPolicy.com

- July 2: The Sean Hannity Show broadcasts live on KSL Radio from Gallivan Plaza, 1-4 p.m. Free.
- July 7: Utah Stonewall Democrats, 5:30 pm, State Democratic Headquaters third floor conference room, 455 So 300 East, SLC.
- July 10: Davis County Democrats No-Host Breakfast, 8:30 am to 10:00 am, Joanie s Restaurant, 286 North 400 West, Kaysville. Contact Richard Watson (801) 292-6772.
- July 19-23: National Conference of State Legislatures, Salt Lake City.
- August 3: Utah Log Cabin Republicans Monthly Meeting, 7:30 pm, Room N4010, Salt Lake County Government Center, 2001 South State Street, SLC.
- August 5: Professional Republican Women (PRW) and Utah Federation of Republican Women half-day Campaign School. Keynote speaker Fred Lampropolous. Noon to 5 p.m. at Merit Medical, 1660 W. Merit Parkway (9800 S.), South Jordan. Cost $45, Contact PRW 801-270-0802.
- August 5:
Progressive Democratic Caucus Meeting, 6:30-8:00 pm, 455 South 300 East, Suite 102, SLC. Contact Craig Axford (801) 918-6017.
- August 14: Davis County Democrats No-Host Breakfast, 8:30-10:00 am, Joanie s Restaurant, 286 North 400 West, Kaysville. Contact Richard Watson (801) 292-6772.
- August 24: Green Party of Utah Roots Local Monthly Meeting, 12:00 pm, Sprague Library, 1100 East just past 2100 South, SLC. Contact 486-2558.

- See the entire calendar