1. I think Dan Liljenquist is starting to land a few body blows on Orrin Hatch with his television ads. He’s pivoted a bit off the “he won’t debate me” message and is focusing more on Hatch’s record.
I don’t have any empirical evidence to back it up, but I also get the feeling Liljenquist is starting to get a little momentum as well.
With less than 4 weeks to go until the primary election, there may not be enough time for Liljenquist to get the kind of name recognition he needs to pull the upset. Plus, don’t forget that Mitt Romney is visiting Utah next week.
2. Speaking of Mitt Romney, I think how Orrin Hatch plays the Romney visit will give us a good indication of what he thinks of his chances in the primary.
If his campaign is very low-key when it comes to Romney in Utah that probably means they are feeling confident about the election. If they do a big public event with Romney, it’s a good bet they’re worried.
3. I think the best money the Utah GOP could spend during the election season would be for TV and radio ads urging Utahns to vote for Mitt Romney. Romney is likely to drive a lot of turnout, which could greatly help Republican candidates down-ballot.
4. I think that Romney is going to drive a ton of turnout anyway. I’ve heard from a number of attendees at different Republican caucus meetings that people showed up asking if this is the place they could “vote for Mitt Romney.” If people took time out of their evenings in March to go and vote for Romney, what do you think November will bring?
5. I think I’ve figured out who the Avengers would vote for. Someone asked me this question last week, and I decided to devote a little brainpower to figuring it out.
Iron Man/Tony Stark – Definitely Mitt Romney. He’s a rich capitalist and would most likely be a supporter and donor to Romney.
Captain America – Mitt Romney. Traditional values and very conservative.
Thor – Most likely doesn’t believe in democracy, but if he were to vote, he would probably go for Barack Obama since he’s an immigrant (of sorts).
Hulk – Sees things in very black and white terms. Would probably support Ron Paul.
Black Widow – Probably not an American citizen, but would gravitate toward Barack Obama because of Mitt Romney’s problem with female voters.
Hawkeye – Just strikes me as a Republican for some reason. Would vote for Mitt Romney.
Nick Fury – The movie version would vote for Barack Obama. The comic book version would likely be a Republican.
Loki – Ever the opportunist, he would throw his support behind whomever he thought was winning.
Agent Coulson – The most independent of independent voters.
Please note that these assessments are based on the movie version of the characters only. I don’t want to get into a long drawn-out discussion about who the comic versions of the characters would vote for. So, can it, nerds.
Parting thought: “An idea not coupled with action will never get any bigger than the brain cell it occupied.”—Arnold H. Glasow